中国城际客运连通性:一个多模式和网络化的方法

Zhenran Zhu, A. Zhang, Yahua Zhang
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引用次数: 70

摘要

本文提出了一个衡量中国城际客运连通性的动态加权模型。我们考虑了航空和铁路这两种运输方式的质量和数量。在入选的23个主要城市中,上海的连通性水平最高,在航空和铁路连通性方面都处于领先地位。香港、昆明、乌鲁木齐是航空运输占主导地位的三个城市,对互联互通的贡献率超过80%。该研究还表明,国际城市与中国国内网络之间的联系高度集中在少数几个城市,即香港、上海、北京和广州,而首尔是与中国交通联系最紧密的国际城市。上海-南京被认为是联系最紧密的一对城市,这主要得益于高铁服务的巨大贡献。我们的研究表明,在按连通性衡量的20条排名靠前的国内航线中,有19条航线的火车服务贡献超过80%。此外,在长达1300公里的长途线路上,高铁已经成为首选和主导选择。这一发现对交通基础设施规划和投资具有重要的政策意义。
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Connectivity of Intercity Passenger Transportation in China: A Multi-Modal and Network Approach
This paper proposes a dynamic weighted model to measure the connectivity of intercity passenger transportation in China. We consider both quality and quantity of the connections of two transport modes: air and rail. Among the 23 major cities selected, Shanghai is revealed to have the highest connectivity level, leading in both air and rail connectivity. Hong Kong, Kunming, and Urumqi are the three cities that predominantly rely on air transportation whose contribution to the connectivity exceeds 80%. This research also suggests that the connections between international cities and China's domestic network are highly concentrated on a few cities, namely, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangzhou, and that Seoul is the best connected international city in terms of its transport links with China. Shanghai-Nanjing has been found to be the best-connected city pair, primarily due to the significant contribution from high-speed rail (HSR) service. Our study shows that the contribution from train service is more than 80% for 19 of the 20 top-ranking domestic routes measured by connectivity. In addition, HSR has become a preferred and dominant option over air on a number of long-distance routes up to 1,300km. This finding has significant policy implications for transportation infrastructure planning and investment.
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