霍尔特·温特斯模型在可加性季节序列需求预测中的应用:一个案例研究

Pedro Santos, Maycklla Rândrea Ribeiro Guedes da Purificação, C. A. Fernandes, Ailton Abel Rodrigues dos Santos, Leonardo Santana Dias Neto
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引用次数: 0

摘要

考虑到公司建立的竞争环境,在当前的市场中,帮助决策的支持工具在组织内变得越来越重要。在追求竞争优势的过程中,需求预测方法有助于降低成本,同时尽可能精确地预测每种产品所需的数量和正确的时间。这项工作的目的是利用霍尔特-温特斯加性模型,分析位于佩特林纳市的一家农业公司的需求预测,更具体地说,是水果种植。
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APPLICATION OF THE HOLT WINTERS MODEL FOR DEMAND FORECASTING IN ADDITIVE SEASONAL SERIES: A CASE STUDY
Considering the competitive context in which companies are established, in the current market, support tools that help in decision making are gaining more and more importance within organizations. In pursuit of a competitive advantage, demand forecasting methods help reduce costs while predicting, with as much precision as possible, the required quantity of each product as well as the right time. The objective of this work was to analyze the forecast of demand in a company of the agricultural sector, more specifically of the fruit growing, located in the city of Petrolina - PE, using the Holt - Winters Additive Model.
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