用广义加性模型(GAM)进行回归的垂直风速估计

H. Nuha, Rizka Reza Pahlevi, M. Mohandes, S. Rehman, A. Al-Shaikhi, H. Tella
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引用次数: 1

摘要

印度尼西亚电力公司2010-2019年电力供应总体规划指出,年电力需求为55,000兆瓦。风速(WS)评估是风电场选址候选人的必要条件。本文采用广义加性模型(GAM)进行垂直WS估计。用对称平均绝对百分比误差(SMAPE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)和调整后的决定系数(R2adj)对该方法进行了评价。在60、100、140和180 m高度,GAM法测得的WS值与估测值之间的R2adj最大值分别为96.34%、81.66%、64.68%和62.90%。
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Vertical Wind Speed Estimation Using Generalized Additive Model (GAM) for Regression
The general plan for the provision of electricity of Indonesia Electricity Company for 2010–2019 states that the annual electricity demand is 55,000 MW. Wind speed (WS) assessment is required for wind farm site candidates. This paper uses the generalized additive model (GAM) for vertical WS estimation. The method is evaluated in terms of symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), mean absolute error (MAE), and the adjusted coefficient of determination (R2adj). The highest values of R2adj between the measured and the estimated WS values achieved by GAM method at 60, 100, 140, and 180 m of heights are 96.34%, 81.66%, 64.68 %, and 62.90 % respectively.
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