电力市场的预防性储存

Tunç Durmaz
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摘要

由于可再生能源依赖于气象冲击且不可控,因此随着可再生能源份额的上升,整体能源生产的风险也越来越大。尽管这引起了人们对储能技术的重新关注,但出于预防动机,储能技术并没有得到太多的考虑。在我们的研究中,我们着眼于凸边际效用(审慎)和凸边际成本(节俭)在多大程度上可以刺激预防性能源储存。我们建立了一个关于间歇性可再生能源、可调度系统和储能的能源消费和生产的简单理论模型。首先,我们描述了最优的特性,并展示了谨慎和节俭是如何导致更高水平的能量储存的。通过将我们的研究结果应用于完全竞争市场,我们进一步表明,谨慎和节俭通过提高储能需求来提高市场能源价格,并降低价格波动。我们的分析可以对企业面临产能限制并面临生产风险的各种其他行业的库存决策产生影响。
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Precautionary Storage in Electricity Markets
As renewable energy depends on meteorological shocks and is non-controllable, the overall energy production becomes riskier with the rising renewable share. Although this has led to a renewed interest in storage technologies, not much consideration has been given to energy storage due to precautionary motives. In our study, we look at to what extent a convex marginal utility (prudence) and a convex marginal cost (frugality) can spur precautionary energy storage. We set up a simple theoretical model of energy consumption and production with intermittent renewable sources, dispatchable systems, and energy storage. First, we characterize the optimum and demonstrate how prudence and frugality can lead to higher levels of energy storage. By applying our findings to perfectly competitive markets, we further show that prudence and frugality increase the market energy price through higher demand for energy storage and decrease price volatility. Our analysis can have implications for inventory decisions in various other industries where firms face capacity constraints and are exposed to production risks.
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