通胀感知、预期与企业工资决定:来自中国制造业上市公司的证据

Chi Zhang, Z. Liu, Lei Lv
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摘要

本文研究了通胀感知和预期对企业工资决定的影响程度。本文采用虚拟变量数据对中国制造业上市公司年报中的企业通胀感知进行量化。结果表明,通胀感知对企业的工资决定有增长效应,而不是相反。通胀预期上升的公司的工资比通胀预期大致保持不变的公司高出约6%。通胀感知下降的公司显示通胀感知与工资之间没有因果关系。短期通胀预期将降低工资。通胀预期每增加1%,企业支付的工资就会下降大约3.5个百分点。企业利润对工资变动影响不大,呈负相关。
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Inflation Perceptions and Expectations and Firms’ Wage Determination: Evidence from Chinese listed manufacturing companies
This article investigates the extent to which inflation perceptions and expectations affect firms’ wage determination. We adopt dummy variables data to quantify the firm inflation perceptions of China's listed manufacturing companies from corporate annual reports. The results reveal that inflation perceptions have a growth effect on firms’ wage determination, not vice versa. The wages of firms whose inflation perceptions have risen are approximately 6% higher than are those inflation perceptions have remained approximately the same. The firms whose inflation perceptions have fallen show no causal relationship between inflation perceptions and wage. Short-term inflation expectations will reduce wages. For every 1% increase in inflation expectations, the wages paid by firms will fall by approximately 3.5 percentage points. Corporate profits have little effect on wage change and are negatively related.
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