在大库存流量一致模型中同时确定库存、流量和参数值的方法

A. Godin, Gnanonobodom Tiou-Tagba Aliti, Stephen Kinsella
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引用次数: 8

摘要

由于建模过程的复杂性,库存流量一致性宏观经济模型缺乏连贯的估计方法。本文提供了一种候选估计方法,通过解析求解任何库存流模型,同时确定每个库存和流量的值,并将估计转换为p−k维的全局最小化问题。我们描述了该方法,并将其应用于使用真实世界数据的规范模型。该方法可可靠地估计参数和流程。
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Method to Simultaneously Determine Stock, Flow, and Parameter Values in Large Stock Flow Consistent Models
Stock flow consistent macroeconomic models suffer from the lack of a coherent estimation method due to the complicated nature of the modeling process. This paper provides a candidate estimation method that determines the values of each stock and flow simultaneously by analytically solving any stock flow model, and converting the estimation into a global minimization problem in p − k dimensions. We describe the method and apply it to a canonical model using real-world data. The method estimates the parameters and flows reliably.
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