部分三元分析法在波兰2000-2017年犯罪率分析中的应用

M. Misztal
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引用次数: 1

摘要

摘要研究背景:犯罪是一个复杂的社会现象,受到各学科科学家的研究,也是政治家和公众感兴趣的问题。虽然近年来波兰的犯罪水平有所下降,但仍然需要寻找从多维角度调查犯罪现象的有效方法。目的:本文的目的是评估2000年至2017年波兰选定的刑事犯罪类别的时空多样性。研究方法:分析的数据集构成一个数据立方体:对象x变量x时间。这种类型的数据需要使用处理三向数据结构的方法,因此成功地应用了属于STATIS系列方法的部分三元分析。结果:省际犯罪结构在分析年份内较为稳定。确定了在刑事犯罪率方面相似的三个省群。Podkarpackie省是该时期犯罪结构最稳定的省份。相比之下,在Opolskie, Dolnośląskie, Mazowieckie和Małopolskie省,犯罪结构随着时间的推移发生了明显的变化。根据《反药物成瘾法》,犯罪行为的可变性最大。新颖性:据作者所知,目前还没有关于犯罪水平的论文使用PTA方法进行分析。
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Application of the Partial Triadic Analysis Method to Analyze the Crime Rate in Poland in the Years 2000–2017
Abstract Research background: Crime is a complex social phenomenon studied by scientists from various disciplines, as well as being of interest to politicians and the general public. Although the decrease in the level of crime has been observed in Poland in recent years, there is still a need to search for effective methods of investigating the phenomenon of crime in a multidimensional perspective. Purpose: The aim of the paper is to assess the spatial and temporal diversity of the chosen criminal offences categories in Poland from 2000 to 2017. Research methodology: The analyzed dataset constitutes a data cube: objects x variables x time. This type of data requires the use of methods dealing with three-way data structures, therefore the Partial Triadic Analysis, belonging to the STATIS family methods, was successfully applied. Results: The structure of crime by voivodeship was fairly stable during the analyzed years. Three clusters of voivodeships similar in terms of the criminal crime rate were determined. The Podkarpackie Voivodeship was characterized by the most stable structure of criminal crime in the considered period. In contrast, noticeable changes in the crime structure over time were observed in the Opolskie, Dolnośląskie, Mazowieckie and Małopolskie Voivodeships. The highest variability was observed for crimes under The Act on Counteracting Drug Addiction. Novelty: To the best knowledge of the author, there are no papers on the level of crime using the PTA method for analysis.
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