二元表示中离散化单元对货币汇率建模效率的影响

Krzysztof Piasecki, M. Stasiak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

汇率过程轨迹可以用二进制表示可视化。二值化算法涉及将tic数据表示的过程转换为相应的二进制字符串。每增加一个离散化单位的汇率被赋以二进制值1,相应的汇率下降被赋以0。二进制表示的汇率过程的性质和特征,例如随机波动(噪声)的影响或当前变化与历史数据之间的关系,取决于指定的离散化单元。本文对澳元/纽元二元货币对的汇率轨迹进行了统计分析。分析是为了验证二进制表示在基于二进制表示状态模型(BRSM)的预测系统中的可能应用。研究中使用的数据包括2012-2017年5年期间澳元/纽元的波动数据。
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Impact of Discretization Units on the Modelling Efficiency of Currency Exchange Rate in Binary Representation
Exchange rate course trajectory can be visualised in a binary representation. Binarization algorithm involves transformation of a course represented by tic data into a respective binary string. Each exchange rate increase by one discretization unit is assigned a binary value 1, and a respective decrease is assigned a 0. Properties and character of the exchange rate course in binary representation, that is, for example, influence of random fluctuations (noise) or relationship between current changes and historical data, are dependent on the appointed discretization unit. In the article a statistical analysis of an exchange rate trajectory for AUD/NZD currency pair in binary representation with different discretization units is presented. The analysis was performed in order to verify possible application of binary representation to create prediction systems based on binary representation state model (BRSM). Data used in performed research consisted of tick data for AUD/NZD from a five-year time period 2012–2017.
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