巴克塔普尔市可持续能源发展家庭部门城市能源情景

Rajendra K.C., A. M. Nakarmi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究旨在通过对165所房屋的原始数据调查,分析巴克塔普尔市的能源情景,作为家庭特征的函数。三种情景被认为是照常营业(BAU)、可持续能源情景(SED)和加速增长情景(AGS)。BAU、SED和AGS的预期能源年增长率分别为4.08%、3.71%和4.01%;经济增长分别为4.6%、7.0%和9.2%。而轿车和AGS的家庭用电量分别为3840千瓦时和4698千瓦时,处于可持续发展目标的第5级。燃料进口成本为NRs。4.71亿卢比和卢比。与BAU场景相比,SED和AGS场景分别可节省5.23亿美元。总体而言,在所有三种情景下,SED和AGS在2018年的温室气体排放总量为7.59千吨,到2030年为零。此外,AGS和SED方案的NPV值均为负值,这意味着两种方案在经济上都是可行的。
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Urban Energy Scenario of Household Sector in Bhaktapur Municipality for Sustainable Energy Development
This study aims to analyse energy scenarios of Bhaktapur Municipality through primary data survey of 165 houses as a function of household's characteristics. Three scenarios are considered business-as-usual (BAU), Sustainable Energy scenario (SED) and Accelerated Growth Scenario (AGS). BAU, SED and AGS show an expected energy growth at annual rates of4.08%, 3.71% and 4.01%; with economic growth of 4.6%, 7.0% and 9.2% respectively. Whereas, the electricity consumption per household in the SEDand AGS are 3,840KWh and 4,698KWh respectively, lies in tier-5 as per SDG. Fuel imported cost NRs. 471 million and NRs. 523 million can be saved in SED and AGS Scenarios respectively as compare to BAU scenario. Overall, under all three scenarios, it was found that total GHG emission in 2018 was 7.59 kilotons to nil in 2030 for SED and AGS.Furthermore,NPV value in AGS and SED scenarios are in negative value which means both scenarios is economically viable.
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