公共卫生管理:坎波斯多斯戈伊塔卡泽斯市公共卫生支出与交通事故因果关系分析

Iury Pessanha Barreto, Marina Rodrigues de Almeida, S. Araujo
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摘要

据Carvalho(2015)称,交通事故是巴西死亡的主要原因之一。尽管有一些关于研究对象的统计数据,即用于交通事故引起的公共卫生的财政费用,但必须指出,关于这一主题的数据和研究很少,特别是涉及具体城市的数据和研究。该项目的假设是,尽管公共卫生总支出涉及各种费用,但格兰杰因果检验仍然能够捕获与所研究城市的交通事故数量具有统计学意义的数字。本研究的目的是利用格兰杰因果关系检验,验证坎波斯多斯戈伊塔卡泽斯市公共卫生总市政费用与交通事故数量之间是否存在减少的因果关系。结果表明,城市公共卫生支出总变量与交通事故数量之间不存在统计学上显著的因果关系。
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Public health management: an analysis of the causality of public health expenditure and traffic accidents for the municipality of Campos dos Goytacazes
Traffic accidents are among the main causes of death in Brazil, according to Carvalho (2015). Despite some statistics on the object of study, which is a financial expense spent on public health from traffic accidents, it is important to note that data and studies on the subject are scarce, especially when it comes to specific municipalities. The project hypothesis is that despite the total expenditure on public health involves expenses of various kinds, the Granger causality test is still able to capture statistically significant figures with the number of traffic accidents in the municipality under study. The present work aims to verify if there is a reduced causality between the total municipal expenses with public health and the number of traffic accidents in the city of Campos dos Goytacazes, using the Granger causality test. According to the results, there is no statistically significant causal relationship between the total variables of municipal expenditure on public health and the number of traffic accidents.
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