电力系统可靠性评估的数学方法综述

Đạt Tiến Huỳnh, D. Nguyễn, B. Le
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在世界经济高速发展的今天,电力系统可靠性问题日益受到人们的关注。因此,对电力系统可靠性问题进行认真的研究是十分必要的。基于这些研究,我们可以准确地评估情况,提出操作方案,合理地排除故障,为未来做好适当的计划。由此,我们可以实现电力系统可靠性问题的最终目标是实现可靠性的最大化,满足国家的发展需要。然而,目前许多国家的电力系统可靠性问题还没有应用更新的、客观的评估工具,只是挖掘了问题的表面。通过研究过程,概述了电力系统可靠性问题的基本概念、分类和参数。此外,本文还详细总结了基于现有数学模型的电力系统可靠性计算与评估方法(解析图法、状态空间法、故障树法、蒙特卡罗法),并给出了每种方法的实例。因此,对这些方法进行了比较,并指出了在具体情况下的应用。
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Overview of mathematical methods for power system reliability evaluation
Nowadays, with the strong development of the world's economy, the power system reliability issue is increasingly concerned. A high reliable power system brings peace of mind in production investment, stability in national security, citizen's satisfaction… Therefore, serious researches of the power system reliability problem is very necessary. Based on that researches, we can accurately evaluate the situation, propose operational scenarios, troubleshoot reasonably, plan properly for the future. From there, we can implement the ultimate goal of the power system reliability problem is to maximize the reliability, meeting the nation's development need. However, at present, power system reliability problems in many countries have not yet applied updated and objective assessment tools, only exploiting the surface of the problem. Through the research process, the authors publish this paper to outline the basic concepts, the classification and the parameters of the power system reliability problem. Besides, the paper summarizes in detail the methods of calculating and evaluating power system reliability based on the current mathematical models (Analytical Graph method, State Space method, Failure Tree method, Monte - Carlo method) with examples of each method. Thereby, these methods are compared and indicated the applications in specific situations.
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