为什么整体个人消费支出和中位数个人消费支出通胀差距如此之大?

Daniel R. Carroll, Ross Cohen-Kristiansen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

平均(或总体)个人消费支出通胀通常低于个人消费支出通胀中位数,自2012年以来,这一差距一直很大。为了理解这种趋势的原因,我们调查了标题测量的哪些组成部分导致了这种差异。我们发现,经常经历大幅价格波动的能源成分,以及几十年来价格稳步下降的电子产品,可以解释两种通胀指标之间的大部分差异。我们认为,这些因素对总体个人消费支出通胀的巨大影响,强化了政策制定者的必要性
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Why Are Headline PCE and Median PCE Inflations So Far Apart?
Mean (or headline) PCE inflation has typically fallen below median PCE inflation, and since 2012 the difference has been large. To understand the reasons for this trend, we investigate which components of the headline measure are contributing to the difference. We find that energy components, which frequently undergo wide price swings, and electronics, which have been steadily decreasing in price for decades, explain most of the difference between the two inflation measures. We argue that the outsized impacts of such components on headline PCE inflation reinforce the need for policymakers
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