巴厘省肉用鸡肉供需分析

Regiana Yoshika Dewantari, N. Suparta, B. Putri
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摘要

本研究旨在分析巴厘省肉鸡种群、DOC价格、饲料价格和药品价格等因素对锅鸡供应的影响,以及人口、人均收入、锅鸡价格、游客访问量和宗教节日对锅鸡需求的影响。使用的研究方法是多元线性回归分析,借助SPSS程序和趋势分析。使用2个因变量和9个自变量。本研究使用的数据是通过对100名受访者的访谈获得的主要数据,而次要数据来自2009年至2019年的年度数据。研究结果表明,肉鸡种群数量、DOC价格、饲料价格和药品价格对锅鸡肉供应没有影响,置信水平为95%,R2为0.641。这是因为大多数育种者都与公司有合作关系。同时,锅鸡的部分需求是由人口决定的,95%置信度系数为0.045。这表明,人口的增长与肉鸡肉的消费量成正比。而其他变量不影响巴厘省肉鸡需求。
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ANALYSIS OF SUPPLY AND DEMAND OF BROILER CHICKEN MEAT IN BALI PROVINCE
This study aims to analyze factors such as broiler chicken population, DOC prices, feed prices and drug prices on boiler chicken meat supply, and population, per capita income, boiler chicken meat prices, tourist visits and religious holidays to demand boiler chicken meat in Bali Province. The research method used is multiple linear regression analysis with the help of the SPSS program and trend analysis. Used 2 dependent variables and 9 independent variables. The data used in this study are primary data obtained from interviews with 100 respondents, while secondary data is obtained from annual data from 2009 to 2019. The results of the study concluded that the broiler chicken population, DOC prices, feed prices and drug prices had no effect on the supply of boiler chicken meat at the 95% confidence level and R2 of 0.641. This is because most breeders have partnerships with companies. Meanwhile, partially the demand for boiler chicken meat is determined by the population with a coefficient of 0.045 at 95% confidence. This shows that the increase in population is directly proportional to the consumption of broiler chicken meat. While other variables do not affect the demand for broiler chicken in Bali Province.
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