低收入国家的债务:演变、影响和补救

Sebastian Essl, Sinem Kilic Celik, P. Kirby, André Proite
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引用次数: 23

摘要

近年来,低收入国家的债务脆弱性大幅增加。自2013年以来,政府债务占国内生产总值(gdp)的比例中值上升了约20个百分点,而且越来越多地来自非优惠和私人来源。因此,在大多数低收入国家,利息支付在政府收入中所占的比例越来越大。由于外债水平高、缺乏财政空间、外汇储备低以及出口多样化,大多数低收入国家将受到贸易或全球金融状况突然减弱的沉重打击。积极主动地查明和减少与债务有关的脆弱性是许多低收入国家的优先事项。决策者应把重点放在调动国内资源、提高债务透明度和加强债务管理做法上。这些努力应辅以加强财政框架、提高公共支出和公共投资管理效率以及发展国内金融体系的措施。
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Debt in Low-Income Countries: Evolution, Implications, and Remedies
Debt vulnerabilities in low-income countries have increased substantially in recent years. Since 2013, median government debt has risen by about 20 percentage points of gross domestic product and increasingly comes from non-concessional and private sources. As a result, in most low-income countries, interest payments are absorbing an increasing proportion of government revenues. The majority of low-income countries would be hard hit by a sudden weakening in trade or global financial conditions given high levels of external debt, lack of fiscal space, low foreign currency reserves, and undiversified exports. A proactive effort to identify and reduce debt-related vulnerabilities is a priority for many low-income countries. Policy makers should focus on mobilizing domestic resources, improving debt transparency, and strengthening debt management practices. These efforts should be complemented by measures to strengthen fiscal frameworks, improve the efficiency of public expenditures and public investment management, and develop domestic financial systems.
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