外商直接投资流动与波兰经济比较优势格局的动态关系研究

M. Salamaga
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了波兰外商直接投资(FDI)与不同生产要素比重商品的显性比较优势指数之间的动态关系。为此,采用矢量误差修正模型(VECM)。为了研究变量之间的反馈,分析了脉冲响应函数和预测误差方差分解的结果。研究结果为动态比较优势理论(Ozawa, 1992)的验证提供了基准,动态比较优势理论是FDI与经济竞争力之间长期关系的重要细胞。本文的主要结论之一是确定Ozawa模型中经济发展不同阶段的典型症状同时发生。在计算中使用了中央统计局2002年第一季度至2012年第四季度的数据。
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The Study of Dynamic Relationships between Flow of Foreign Direct Investment and the Pattern of Comparative Advantage in the Polish Economy
The paper presents the dynamic relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) in Poland and the values of revealed comparative advantage indexes of goods with different share of the production factors. For this purpose, the vector error correction model (VECM) was used. To investigate the feedback between the variables there are analyzed the results of the impulse response functions and forecast error variance decomposition.The results provide a benchmark for the verification of the theory of dynamic comparative advantages (Ozawa, 1992), which is an important cell in a long-term relationship between FDI and competitiveness of the economy. One of the main conclusions of the article is to determine the simultaneous occurrence of symptoms typical for the different phases of economic development in the Ozawa model. For the calculations were used data from the Central Statistical Office covering the period from the first quarter of 2002 to the fourth quarter of 2012.
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