基于自组织映射神经网络的中石化及其子公司财务危机预测指标分类方法

D. Yu, Sun Tao
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引用次数: 2

摘要

几十年来,财务困境的预测在会计和公司财务文献中受到了相当大的关注。人们提出了各种基于财务报表中财务比率的定量预测方法。本文采用SOM神经网络技术对中石化集团及其子公司财务困境预测指标进行定量分类,这对财务困境预测建模过程尤为重要。第四部分对中国石化仪征化纤有限公司进行了案例分析。统计结果表明,即使是同一家企业,在企业进入的不同时期,财务困境预测模型中选取的评价指标的内容和数量也是不同的。
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The Method of Classification for Financial Distress Prediction Indexes of Sinopec Corp. and Its Subsidiaries Based on Self-Organizing Map Neural Network
The prediction of financial distress has received considerable attention in accounting and corporate financial literatures for decades. Various quantitative prediction methods based on financial ratios derived from financial statements have been proposed. This paper uses SOM neural network technology to quantitatively classify the financial distress prediction indexes in Sinopec Corp. and its subsidiaries, which is particularly important for the financial distress prediction modeling process. The Case study of Sinopec Yizheng Chemical Fibre Company Limited is carried out at section 4. And the statistics result shows that even for the same enterprise, the contents and the numbers of the selected evaluation indexes in financial distress prediction model are different during the different periods the enterprise enters.
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