石油繁荣结束后还剩下什么?

Pavel Jelnov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这篇论文将贝克的文学作品联系起来,贝克的文学作品表明婚姻是男性收入方面的正常商品,而贝克的文学作品则探讨了外生事件导致的文化变化。我把20世纪70年代的石油危机作为对一些男性的积极冲击。分析结果是女性20岁出头和男性20岁中后期的婚姻状况。在受冲击后,产油地区未婚的概率明显低于美国其他地区。这种影响在石油繁荣结束后仍然存在,但对男性的影响比女性更长。
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What Remains after the Oil Boom is Over?
This paper links between Beckerian literature that shows that marriage is a normal good with respect to male income and the literature that explores cultural changes as a result of exogenous events. I use the oil crisis of the 1970s as a positive shock on some males. The analyzed outcome is marital status at early twenties for women and at mid and late twenties for men. The probability to be never-married is significantly lower in the oil-producing than in other American areas immediately after the shock. This effect persists after the oil boom is over but longer for men than for women.
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