马尔奎斯特指数与时间序列的数据包络分析

Jhon Jairo Vargas Sánchez
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文提出了一种新的时间数据包络分析(DEA)模型,该模型克服了窗口分析和马尔姆奎斯特指数的不足。新模型允许使用时间序列。对于每个系列,选择一组ARIMA模型中的最佳模型,并可能对两个时期进行预测。分析了不同决策单元(dmu)效率的变化,并利用时间序列使其易于包含Malmquist预测。新模型在企业管理或供应链管理中的实现是有用的,因为与经典的Malmquist方法相比,它考虑了两个以上的时期,因此,通过改变时间序列的确定性单变量来提高效率随时间的控制。最后,它们有了相关结构,它们得到了更真实的建模。
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Malmquist Index with Time Series to Data Envelopment Analysis
This chapter presents a new temporal data envelopment analysis (DEA) model that over- comes some weaknesses of the window analysis and Malmquist index. New model allows to work with time series. For each series the best of a set of ARIMA models is selected, and a forecast for two periods it is possible. Changes in efficiency of different decision making units (DMUs) are analyzed and the use of temporal series makes it easy to include Malmquist forecasts. The implementation of the new model in business administration or supply chain management can be useful because it considers more than two periods in contrast with classical Malmquist method, for that, control of efficiency over time is improved by changing deterministic univariate variables for time series. The last them have the structure of correlation and they get even more real modeling.
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