传染病流行动态的隔室模型综述

I. Lefanova, T. V. Smirnova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

隔室模型用于传染病传播动力学的数学建模和后续计算实验。初始种群被划分为孤立的隔室(compartments),个体按照指定的参数在隔室之间移动。这些模型通常与常微分方程系统一起工作,用于预测传染病的传播,流行病的持续时间,使估计各种流行病学参数成为可能,并通过引入必要的区隔,使预测各种公共卫生措施对传染病流行的发展和结果的影响成为可能。
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OVERVIEW OF COMPARTMENT MODELS OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES PREVALENCE DYNAMICS
Compartmental models are used for mathematical modeling and subsequent computational experiment of the dynamics of the spread of infectious diseases. The initial population is divided into isolated compartments (compartments), individuals move between the compartments in accordance with the specified parameters. These models most often work with systems of ordinary differential equations and are used to predict the spread of infectious diseases, the duration of epidemics, make it possible to estimate various epidemiological parameters, and, by introducing the necessary compartments, make it possible to predict the impact of various kinds of public health measures on the development and outcome of infectious disease epidemics.
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