神经网络预测风力发电的方法

I. Metodieva, Stoyan Hristov Bozhkov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本报告综述了影响风能性能和生产力的主要因素。这些电源的功能主要是作为电源连接,这既影响电压的质量,也影响它们所连接的电网的可靠性。对这些电源产生的电力进行准确的预测分析是实现不间断供电的关键。为了达到预测的目的,提出了一种人工智能设备。报告的目的是明确的,即创建一个神经网络,通过它来预测风力发电机产生的电力。评估了所开发模型的可操作性。为了实现这一目标,使用了一个用于数值计算、分析和图形的交互式系统- MATLAB / Toolbox / NNtool。本文的结构如下:报告的第一和第二部分提出了与预测风力发电有关的问题。本文提出了一种现代可行的神经网络解决方案。在报告的第三部分,建立了一个用于预测风力涡轮机发电量的神经网络。描述了创建网络的主要步骤,并对其工作的准确性进行了评估。最后,在研究的基础上,得出结论。
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Neural Network a Way to Forecast the Generation of Electricity From a Wind Turbine
This report reviews the main factors influencing the performance and productivity of wind energy sources. These sources function mainly as mains-connected, which affects both the quality of the voltage and the reliability of the electrical networks to which they are connected. It is essential for the realization of uninterrupted power supply to perform an accurate forecast analysis of the electricity produced by these sources. For the purposes of forecasting, an artificial intelligence device is presented. The purpose of the report is defined, namely to create a neural network through which to forecast the electricity produced by a wind generator. The operability of the developed model was assessed. To achieve this goal, an interactive system for numerical calculations, analysis and graphs - MATLAB / Toolbox / NNtool was used. The article is structured as follows: The first and second parts of the report present the problem related to forecasting the production of electricity from wind sources. A modern, possible solution to the problem by using a neural network is presented. In the third part of the report, a neural network for predicting the production of electricity from a wind turbine has been set up. The main steps in creating the network are described, the accuracy of its work is assessed. In the last part, based on the research, conclusions are drawn.
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