孟加拉国城市化事实分析与城市人口趋势预测:ARIMA方法的应用

A. Ruma
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市化也有一些积极的影响,包括就业机会、创新和基础设施的进步、交通和通信的加强。城市医疗服务和教育设施的改善提高了人们的生活水平。城市化对健康有负面影响,主要是由于污染和拥挤的日常环境。ARIMA方法已用于预测孟加拉国到2030年的城市人口(占总人口的百分比)。ARIMA方法考虑1972 - 2019年的时间序列数据来估计预测。目前的研究估计,随着时间的推移,孟加拉国的城市人口呈增加趋势。这项研究有助于提高人们对不断变化的城市人口的认识。
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Analysis of the facts of urbanization with forecasting the trend of urban population in Bangladesh: An application of ARIMA method
There are some positive ramifications of urbanization, along these lines, which incorporate the employment opportunities, innovative and infrastructural progressions, enhanced transportation, and correspondence. The betterment of clinical services and educational facilities in urban areas increase the living standard. Urbanization has negative outcomes on wellbeing due essentially to contamination and packed everyday environments. The ARIMA methodology has been used to forecast urban populations (% of total) in Bangladesh up to 2030. ARIMA method considers time-series data from 1972 to 2019 to estimate the forecasting. The current study estimates an increasing trend of urban populations in Bangladesh over time. This study has contributed to creating awareness in the case of the changing urban population.
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