落后选民、反精英主义与民意

Benoît S. Y. Crutzen, D. Sisak, O. Swank
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引用次数: 1

摘要

民粹主义的两个共同特征是反精英主义和支持民意而不是专业知识。民粹主义者最近的成功往往归因于普通民众,即大多数选民,被主流政党抛在了后面。本文认为,民粹主义的两个特征是对平民落后的回应。我们开发了一个模型,突出了选举成功背后的两股力量:数字和知识。数字给普通人带来选举优势,知识给精英带来优势。我们表明,选举竞争可能导致政党迎合精英的利益,创造一个落后的多数。接下来,我们确定留守多数鼓励提供反精英平台的政党进入的条件。最后,我们确定了各方遵循普通人意见的条件,当该群体将受益于依赖专家的各方时。
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Left Behind Voters, Anti-Elitism and Popular Will
Two common characteristics of populism are anti-elitism and favoring popular will over expertise. The recent successes of populists are often attributed to the common people, the majority of voters, being left behind by mainstream parties. This paper shows that the two characteristics of populism are responses to the common people being left behind. We develop a model that highlights two forces behind electoral success: numbers and knowledge. Numbers give the common people an electoral advantage, knowledge the elite. We show that electoral competition may lead parties to cater to the elites interest, creating a left-behind majority. Next, we identify conditions under which a left-behind majority encourages entry by a party offering an anti-elite platform. Finally, we identify conditions under which parties follow the opinion of the common people when that group would benefit from parties relying on experts.
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