登陆热带气旋的雨量分布

Zifeng Yu, Yuqing Wang
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引用次数: 7

摘要

准确预报登陆热带气旋的降雨分布对灾害预防非常重要,但对业务预报员来说却是一个很大的挑战。本章将描述LTCs的降雨分布,包括轴对称和不对称分布及其主要控制参数,如环境垂直风切变、TC强度和运动、海岸线。除了许多LTC案例的综合结果外,还给出了几个案例研究来说明LTC降雨分布不对称的主要因素。本文还简要讨论了该领域的未来发展方向和改进LTCs降水分布业务预报的潜在途径。对气象学家和灾害预防的重要性。
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Rainfall Distribution in Landfalling Tropical Cyclones
Accurate prediction of rainfall distribution in landfalling tropical cyclones (LTCs) is very important to disaster prevention but quite challenging to operational forecasters. This chapter will describe the rainfall distribution in LTCs, including both axisymmetric and asymmetric distributions and their major controlling parameters, such as environmental vertical wind shear, TC intensity and motion, and coastline. In addition to the composite results from many LTC cases, several case studies are also given to illustrate the predomi-nant factors that are key to the asymmetric rainfall distribution in LTCs. Future directions in this area and potential ways to improve the operational forecasts of rainfall distribution in LTCs are also discussed briefly. importance to meteorologists and disaster preventions.
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