boruta特征选择在提高混合MLP_GA财务困境预测性能中的应用

A. Khedr, M. Bannany, Sakeena Kanakkayil, Maqsudjon Yuldashev
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引用次数: 1

摘要

财务困境预测(FDP)由于其对企业的内部和外部组成部分(包括投资者和债权人)的重要性,一直是一个广泛和持续研究的主题。金融机构必须能够预见财务困难,以便能够评估企业和个人的财务健康状况。数据预处理技术可以提高预测模型的有效性,许多研究将特征选择作为模型创建前的预处理步骤。创建高效的特征选择算法是FDP面临的主要挑战之一。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种混合方法,用于预测财务困境,使用多层感知器和遗传算法(MLP_GA)模型,具有boruta自动特征选择。该模型采用遗传算法对网络深度、密集层激活函数、网络宽度和网络优化器等关键MLP超参数进行优化,以实现可靠的预测。本文研究了基于boruta算法的特征选择方法如何提高MLP_GA算法的准确率。我们利用中东和北非地区企业的样本来访问FDP绩效。实验采用k-fold评价指标重采样。实验结果表明,采用boruta自动特征选择方法显著提高了FDP模型的预测性能和精度。
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Application of boruta feature selection in enhancing financial distress prediction performance of hybrid MLP_GA
Financial distress prediction (FDP) has been a subject of extensive and ongoing research because of its significance in both internal and external components of enterprises including investors and creditors. Financial institutions must to be able to foresee financial difficulty in order to allow them for evaluating the financial health of businesses and individuals. Data pre-processing techniques have been found to increase the efficacy of prediction models, and many research consider feature selection as a pre-processing step before creating the models. The creation of efficient feature selection algorithms is one of the main challenges facing FDP. In this study, we present a hybrid methodology for predicting financial distress using a Multi-Layer Perceptron and Genetic Algorithm (MLP_GA) model with boruta automated feature selection. The proposed model is designed on genetic algorithm- based tuning of the crucial MLP hyperparameters, including Network depth, Dense layer activation function, Network width, and Network optimizer for a reliable prediction. This paper investigates how boruta algorithm based feature selection method improve the accuracy of our MLP_GA algorithm. We access the FDP performance utilizing samples of enterprises based in MENA area. Resampling with k-fold evaluation metrics is employed in the experiments. The experimental results indicate that the adoption of the boruta automated feature selection method has significantly enhanced the prediction performance and accuracy of the FDP model.
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