理性预期-永久收入假说的实证检验:Abel和Mishkin的一般方法:来自阿尔及利亚的证据

T. Djeddi, Tayeb Louafi, S. Brika
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是通过实证分析检验理性预期-永久收入假说。为此,我们参考了Abel和Mishkin(1983)的一般方法。我们的计量经济学测试基于与阿尔及利亚家庭相关的[1985-2015]期间的年度数据。我们的研究结果表明,对一般方法模型的拒绝导致了对理性预期-永久收入假设的拒绝。研究发现,阿尔及利亚家庭对未来收入没有形成理性预期。
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Empirical Test of the Rational Expectations-permanent Income Hypothesis: Abel and Mishkin’s General Approach: Evidence from Algeria
The purpose of this paper is to test through an empirical analysis the Rational Expectations-Permanent Income Hypothesis. To do this, we referred to the General approach of Abel and Mishkin (1983). Our econometric tests are based on annual data over the period [1985-2015] related to households in Algeria. Our results show the rejection of the general approach’s model which leads to the rejection of the Rational Expectations-Permanent Income Hypothesis. As finding, Algerian households do not form rational expectations about their future income.
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