新兴国家货币政策冲击对汇率的影响

Soyoung Kim, Kuntae Lim
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本研究实证调查了六个新兴国家(韩国、泰国、菲律宾、墨西哥、巴西和哥伦比亚)货币政策冲击对汇率的影响。使用VAR模型,其中对脉冲响应施加符号限制以识别货币政策冲击。实证模型反映了小型开放型新兴经济体的特征。估计期是这些国家根据发达国家的经验采用通货膨胀目标制和更灵活的汇率制度的最近时期。主要研究结果如下:首先,在这些国家经常发现各种各样的谜题,如i°汇率谜题、i±i°延迟超调谜题、i±和i°远期贴现偏差谜题。其次,这些新兴国家比开放的小发达国家面临更严重的难题。
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Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Exchange Rate in Emerging Countries
This study empirically investigates the effects of monetary policy shocks on the exchange rate in six emerging countries (Korea, Thailand, the Philippines, Mexico, Brazil, and Colombia). VAR models are used, wherein sign restrictions on impulse responses are imposed to identify monetary policy shocks. The empirical model reflects the small open emerging economy features. The estimation period is the recent period in which these countries adopted inflation targeting and more flexible exchange rate regimes based on the experience of advanced countries. The main findings are as follows. First, various puzzles such as the i°exchange rate puzzle,i± i°delayed overshooting puzzle,i± and i°forward discount bias puzzlei± are frequently found in these countries. Second, more severe puzzles are found in these emerging countries than in small open advanced countries.
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