拉脱维亚财政安全评价:政府债务政策的各个方面

Nadezhda Semjonova
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引用次数: 2

摘要

由于全球经济和金融危机的风险和严重性增加,金融安全评估对国家安全至关重要。国际公认的指标,如主权信用评级,可能会因为政治原因而高估实际情况。本文提出了一个综合指标的国家财政安全,它考虑了一些国家的经济和金融参数。计算出的指标与低评级值的主权评级相关性良好,但对高评级给出了更悲观的估计。
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Evaluation of the Latvian Financial Security: Aspects of Government Debt Policy
Due to increased risk and severity of the global economic and financial crisis, the evaluation of financial security is vital for the national security. Internationally recognized indicators, such as sovereign credit ratings, may overestimate the actual situation due to political reasons. This paper presents a consolidated indicator of the state financial security, which takes into account a number of the state economic and financial parameters. The calculated indicator correlates well with the sovereign ratings for low rating values, but gives more pessimistic estimation for high ratings.
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