利用个人手机数据估算航空旅客的旅行时间价值

Youngeun Choi, Yang, Bomyi
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摘要

旅行时间的价值,即你愿意为节省单位旅行时间而支付的边际货币价值,通常用于分析乘客行为和交通规划中的(预)可行性研究。它也是机场规划(预)可行性研究的关键因素,因为它用于估计新项目节省时间的效益,目的是减少飞机延误,缓解候机楼拥挤和改善地面通行时间。然而,由于数据的限制和相关研究的缺乏,目前使用的航空旅客的旅行时间值是用地面运输旅客的旅行时间值乘以一定的比例来计算的。本文利用金浦国际机场旅客的个人手机数据,估算航空旅客旅行时间的价值。通过混合logit分析,我们发现出行时间和出行成本对航空旅客出行方式选择有显著影响,且影响因性别、出行天数和出行距离而异。据推测,航空乘客的平均旅行时间为人均2万1874韩元/小时,比国内一般可行性研究中使用的旅行时间值高1.3 ~ 1.5倍,也比首都圈普通客车的旅行时间值高。
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Estimating Air-passengers’ Value of Travel Time Using Individual Mobile Phone Data
The value of travel time, the marginal monetary value you are willing to pay to save a unit of travel time, is commonly used in analysis of passenger behaviors and (pre)feasibility studies in transportation planning. It is also a critical factor in (pre)feasibility studies in airport planning as it is used to estimate benefits of time savings of a new project, the purpose of which is to reduce aircraft delays, relieve terminal congestion and improve ground access time. However, due to the limitations of data and lack of related studies, air-passengers’ value of travel time currently used is calculated by multiplying certain ratio to the surface transport passengers’ value of travel time. In this paper, the value of air-passengers’ travel time is estimated by using individual mobile phone data of people who traveled through Gimpo International airport. With mixed-logit, we revealed the travel time and the travel cost have significant effects on air-passengers’ access mode choice and the effect differs by gender, day of the week, and travel distance. The estimated average value of travel time of air-passengers is 21,874KRW/hr per person, which is 1.3-1.5 times higher value than the value of travel time generally used in (pre)feasibility studies in South Korea and also higher than the typical passenger car’s travel time value in the Seoul metropolitan area.
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