利用随机控制确定肯尼亚最优公共债务上限

Millicent Kithinji, Lucy Muthoni
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引用次数: 0

摘要

公共债务是一个关键的经济变量。它是任何一级政府所欠公民或外国人或两者的公共债务和公共担保债务的总和。由于最近葡萄牙、意大利、爱尔兰、希腊、西班牙等国的债务危机,债务控制已经成为各国政府一项关键的重要财政政策。在本研究中,我们采用公共债务上限显式公式来找出肯尼亚的最优公共债务上限[3]。我们对显式公式中的主观变量进行了修改,并利用该公式找到了肯尼亚的最优公共债务上限。我们说明,政府使用将负债率维持在最佳债务上限以下的财政政策是谨慎的。
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Determination of optimal public debt ceiling for Kenya using stochastic control
Public debt is a key economic variable. It is the totality of public and publicly guaranteed debt owed by any level of government to either citizens or foreigners or both. Due to recent debt crises in countries such as Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain, debt control has become a key important fiscal policy of every government. In this study, we applied a Public debt ceiling explicit formula to find out the optimal public debt ceiling for Kenya [3]. We made modification to subjective variables in the explicit formula and used the formula to find the optimal public debt ceiling for Kenya. We illustrate that it is prudent for that government to use a fiscal policy that maintains the debt ratio under an optimal debt ceiling.
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