尼日利亚干燥热带环境的降雨和温度变化

D. Edokpa, P. Ede, B. Diagi, S. Ajiere
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摘要

本研究考察了尼日利亚干燥热带环境的长期降雨和温度变化。对这些天气变量变化的评估显示了气候变化极限的程度及其对生物环境的相应影响。从尼日利亚气象局获得了卡诺州和卡齐纳州31年(1991-2020年)的降雨量和温度数据。描述性统计用于确定天气变量跨空间域的变异性程度。结果表明,卡诺和卡齐纳的年平均降雨量分别为1154.1 mm和569.6 mm,处于尼日利亚的干旱大陆和半干旱气候区。结果表明,8月份是两个地区月平均降雨量最高的月份,分别为359毫米和194毫米,在旱季几乎没有痕迹。近相似气候带各空间域降雨量的显著差异表明,8月热带不连续区(ITD)并未完全淹没尼日利亚北部带。月降雨量变化最小的是8月和7月,卡诺和卡齐纳的系数变化(CV)分别为40%和47%。2月和3月的变异系数最高,分别为557%和273%。研究地区的旱季和雨季分别为6 - 9月和10 - 5月。降雨变异性指数为0.85 ~ 0.95,干旱强度为45%,为中度变异性,为干旱。卡诺和卡齐纳的年平均气温分别为33.4°C和33.8°C。该研究建议制定一项适当的气候观测计划,特别是针对农业实践,以确保为人类的可持续性提供有利可图的产出。
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Rainfall and Temperature Variations in a Dry Tropical Environment of Nigeria
This study examines long-term rainfall and temperature variations over a dry tropical environment in Nigeria. An assessment of the variations of these weather variables showcases the extent of climate change limits and corresponding effects on the biotic environment. Rainfall and temperature data were obtained from Nigerian Meteorological Agency for a period of 31 years (1991-2020) for Kano and Katsina States. Descriptive statistics were used to determine the degree of variability of the weather variables across spatial domains. Results showed that there is a sharp contrast in mean annual rainfall amounts of 1154.1 mm and 569.6 mm for Kano and Katsina located in the dry continental and semi-arid climate zones of Nigeria respectively. It is revealed that the month of August had the highest mean monthly rainfall for both areas i.e. 359 mm and 194 mm with little or no trace during the dry season. The sharp difference in rainfall amount across spatial domains of the near similar climate zones shows that the Inter-tropical Discontinuity (ITD) does not completely overwhelm the northern band of Nigeria in August. The least variable monthly rainfall was in August and July with coefficient variations (CV) of 40% and 47% for Kano and Katsina. The months of February and March had the highest CV of 557% and 273% for the respective areas. In the examined areas the wet and dry seasons are from June-September and October-May respectively. The index of rainfall variability and drought intensity for the areas ranged from 0.85-0.95 and 45% indicating moderate variability and drought respectively. Mean annual temperature values are 33.4 °C and 33.8 °C for Kano and Katsina. The study recommends a proper climate observing scheme, most especially for agrarian practices so as to ensure profitable outputs for human sustainability.
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