新冠肺炎疫情对斯里兰卡公寓项目供需的影响

JR Koonkaduwa, Y. Sandanayake
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摘要

公寓市场是因新型冠状病毒感染症(COVID-19)全球大流行而受到严重影响的市场之一,目前正走向不均衡状态。因此,本文旨在调查COVID-19大流行对斯里兰卡公寓项目需求和供应的影响。为了达到研究目的,本文采用了定性研究的方法。在实证调查中,对公寓行业专家进行了15次半结构化访谈,并进行了全面的文献综述。收集的数据使用手动内容分析进行分析。调查结果显示,在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,每个市场决定因素如何分别影响公寓的需求和供应,给市场参与者带来了许多挑战,导致公寓市场走向不平衡状态。对城市生活的担忧、人口结构的变化、失业冲击、消费者的财务担忧、旅游危机以及其他几个因素导致需求下降,而审批延迟、投资减少、资金缺乏、开发商失败、市场不完善和施工延误主要影响公寓供应。虽然随着新常态的适应,部分细分市场的公寓需求出现了复苏,随后出现了几个积极的市场方面,但租赁市场内部需求下降,上层市场仍在持续。然而,由于财政损失降低了开发商的供应能力,供应方面正在不断恶化,而由于国家经济低迷,建筑行业的危机受到了更大的影响。
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The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the demand and supply of apartment projects in Sri Lanka
Apartment market can be recognized as one of the marketplaces severely affected due to the unprecedented global pandemic of COVID-19, which is currently driving towards a disequilibrium state. Hence, this paper aimed to investigate the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the demand and supply of apartment projects in Sri Lanka. The qualitative research approach was followed in order to accomplish the research aim. A comprehensive literature review followed by fifteen semi-structured interviews were conducted with apartment industry experts during the empirical investigation. Collected data was analyzed using manual content analysis. The findings revealed, how each market determinant affected the demand and supply of apartments respectively during the COVID-19 pandemic resulting numerous challenges on the market participants, directing the apartment market towards a disequilibrium state. Urban living fears, demographic shifts, unemployment shocks, consumers’ financial concerns, tourism crisis along with several other factors caused demand to be dropped while approval delays, lesser investments, lack of funding, developers’ failures, market imperfection and construction delays majorly affect the supply of apartments. Although demand for apartments in some market segments showed recovery with the new normal adaptation followed by several positive market aspects, demand dropped within the rental market and upper tier remains constantly. However, supply side is worsening overtime since financial losses are lessening developers’ supplying capabilities, while the crisis within the construction sector getting more affected due to the country’s economic downturn.
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