政策是否在推动全球棕榈油贸易?

Shweta Adhikari, Dikshit Poudel, M. Gopinath
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引用次数: 0

摘要

油棕是世界上食用油脂和原料的主要来源。本研究使用重力模型、PPML估计器和1988-2020年的数据,考察了全球棕榈油贸易的决定因素,并关注了贸易政策的影响。近年来棕榈油贸易的急剧增长可归因于大国的经济增长、合作伙伴的接近和政策。贸易协议使原油和精炼棕榈油贸易分别增加了全球进口额的8%和4%。此外,还量化了因COVID-19导致的政策变化和印度尼西亚最近的出口禁令的影响。
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Is Policy Greasing the Wheels of Global Palm Oil Trade?
Oil palm is the major source of edible oil and feedstock consumed in the world. This study examined the determinants of global palm oil trade with attention to the effects of trade policies using a gravity model, PPML estimator, and the data from 1988-2020. Palm oil’s dramatic trade growth in recent years can be attributed to the economic growth of large countries, the proximity of partners and policies. Trade agreements increased crude and refined palm oil trade by up to 8 and 4 percent of the global import value, respectively. Further, the effects of policy changes due to COVID-19 and the recent export ban in Indonesia are also quantified.
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