基于复杂网络 SNA 的外贸网络结构演变分析

M. Mao, Xi Cheng
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引用次数: 2

摘要

21 世纪以来,国际贸易迅猛发展,各国之间错综复杂的贸易关系形成了贸易网络。我们运用以拓扑学为基础的(SNA),通过计算网络密度、度中心性、网络直径、聚类系数等网络指标,分析中国在全球服务贸易网络中的地位演变特征和影响因素。这有助于正确认识中国与其他国家在全球服务贸易中的影响力差距,明确未来中国服务贸易的发展方向。本文基于世界银行 2005 年、2009 年和 2015 年 180 个国家的服务贸易数据库,构建了全球服务贸易网络模型,研究了各国在全球服务贸易网络中地位变化的影响因素。研究发现,中国的外贸网络是稳定的,但在金融危机的影响下,中国的外贸网络子群逐渐从核心地位向半核心地位转移。中国服务贸易流量大,但贸易关系不足。国家间服务贸易关系和贸易量选择与国家间地理距离和相邻地区土地呈负相关。同为世贸组织成员,区域服务贸易协定之间存在显著的正相关关系。
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Evolution Analysis of Foreign Trade Network Structructure Based on Complex Network SNA
Since the 21st century, international trade has developed rapidly, and the complicated trade relations among countries have formed a trade network. We use (SNA), which is based on topology, to analyze the characteristics and influencing factors of China's position evolution in the global service trade network by calculating network density, degree centrality, network diameter, clustering coefficient and other network indicators. It is helpful to correctly understand the gap of influence between China and other countries in global service trade, and to clarify the direction for the development of China's service trade in the future. Based on the World Bank Service Trade Database of 180 countries in 2005, 2009 and2015, this paper constructs a global service trade network model, and studies the influencing factors of the position change of countries in global service trade network. It is found that China's foreign trade network is stable, but itscondensed subgroup is gradually transferred from the core position to the semi-core position under the influence of the financial crisis. China's service trade flow is large, but the trade relationship is insufficient. The relationship between countries in service trade and trade volume choice is negatively correlated with the geographical distance between countries and adjacent areas of land. They are also members of WTO, and there is a significant positive correlation amongregional service trade agreements.
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