大流行病后时期影响国内生产总值增长的因素:以科索沃为例

Muhamet J. Spahiu, Betim Spahiu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文考察了影响科索沃后疫情时期国内生产总值(GDP)增长的因素。本文从科索沃的角度出发,利用固定效应回归分析,探讨了消费、汇款、出口、进口和通货膨胀对科索沃GDP增长的影响。结果表明,在疫情后经济封锁阶段,消费、汇款和出口对GDP增长的影响具有统计学意义,进口和通货膨胀呈轻微反比关系。此外,与随机效应模型相比,固定效应模型选择的充分性的Hausman检验统计量表现出更好的性能。这篇论文是第一篇广泛探讨这些因素在大流行后时期推动科索沃经济GDP增长的影响的论文。本文的新颖之处在于,它认识到了各国政府对疫情的反应,并准确地确定了影响GDP增长的宏观经济因素。
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THE FACTORS INFLUENCING GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT GROWTH IN THE POST-PANDEMIC PERIOD: THE CASE OF KOSOVO
This paper examined the factors that influenced the Gross Domestic Product growth (GDP) in the post-Covid-19 period in Kosovo. This paper explored the impact of consumption, remittances, exports, imports, and inflation on Kosovo's GDP growth using fixed effects regression analysis with data from various secondary sources to analyze their impact from Kosovo's perspective. The results demonstrated that consumption, remittances, and exports had a statistically significant influence on GDP growth during the post-pandemic economic lockdown stage, whereby imports and inflation had a little inverse relation. Further, the Hausman test statistics on the adequacy of the fixed-effect model selection represent a superior performance compared to the random effect model. The paper is the first that extensively explores the impact of these factors that drove GDP growth in the post-pandemic period in Kosovo's economy. The novelty of this paper is that it recognizes the response of governments to the pandemic and accurately identifies the macroeconomic factors that influenced GDP growth.
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