基于EMA的光伏建筑集成板块指数发展趋势的相关性分析与检验

W. Hao, Yilin Wang, Chenheng Xu, Huang Xuan, Pengyuan Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在二氧化碳排放峰值和碳中和的目标下,在“碳排放大户”的标签下,建筑行业如何实现碳中和备受关注,建筑光伏一体化备受欢迎,其应用场景也在逐步扩大。本文建立了综合光伏建筑模型的处理与预测模型。首先,建立标准移动平均线模型,绘制2019年4月1日至2021年4月30日板块指数移动平均线;然后利用协方差矩阵法分析了上证综合指数与光伏建筑一体化的相关性。通过在MATLAB环境下对终点因素进行相关性分析,求出它们之间的最佳相关性。本文将关联模型、预测模型和优化模型集成在一起,通过相关性分析和预测得到优化模型的约束条件。
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Correlation Analysis and Test of the Development Trend of Photovoltaic Building Integration Plate Index Based on EMA
Under the goal of peak carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutrality, how to achieve carbon neutrality in the construction industry with the label of “major carbon emitters” has attracted much attention, and the integration of building photovoltaics is welcoming, and its application scenarios are expanding gradually. In this paper, a processing and forecasting model of the integrated photovoltaic building model is established. Firstly, the standard moving average model is established, and the moving average line of the plate index from April 1,2019 to April 30,2021,2021 is drawn. Then the covariance matrix method is used to analyze the correlation between the Shanghai Composite Index and the integration of photovoltaic building. Through the correlation analysis of the end-point factors under MATLAB environment, the best correlation between them is solved. In this paper, the association model, prediction model and optimization model are integrated, and the constraints conditions of the optimization model are obtained through correlation analysis and prediction.
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