喀斯特流域多种降雨径流模型的性能比较

M. Hasan, Shariot Ullah, A. Saha, M. M. Amin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用简单(黑盒)和完全分布式(白盒)模型的不同建模概念,建立了基于流域特征的降雨-径流模型,用于估算流域出水口的径流量。概念性(灰盒)模型通常是黑盒和白盒模型之间的平衡。本文通过不同的模型结构,建立了喀斯特流域的三个灰盒模型。对灰盒模型的性能进行了评估,并与先前研究中使用水土评估工具开发的半分布式(白盒)模型进行了比较。评估采用拟合优度统计和极限流量分析,使用WETSPRO(水工程时间序列处理工具)。灰盒模型的Nash-Sutcliffe效率(NSE)在校正期为0.39 ~ 0.77,在验证期为0.30 ~ 0.61。然而,白盒模型在NSE方面表现更好,但具有更高的偏差。最佳的灰盒模型能较好地模拟极端流量,而白盒(SWAT)模型能较好地模拟日流量。亚洲Australas。j . Biosci。生物工程学报,2016,36 (1),26-39
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Comparing the performances of multiple rainfall-runoff models of a karst watershed
Different modeling concepts, a simple (black-box) to a fully distributed modeling (white-box), were used to develop a rainfall-runoff model based on the watershed characteristics to estimate runoff at the watershed outlet. A conceptual (grey-box) model is usually a balance between the black-box and white-box model. In this study, three grey-box models were developed by varying model structures for a karst watershed. The performance of the grey-box models was evaluated and compared with a semi-distributed type (white-box) model that was developed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool in a previous study. The evaluation was carried out using goodness-of-fit statistics and extreme flow analysis using WETSPRO (Water Engineering Time Series Processing tool). Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies (NSE) of the grey-box models were from 0.39 to 0.77 in the calibration period and from 0.30 to 0.61 in the validation period. However, the white-box model performed better in terms of NSE but has a higher bias. The best grey-box model performed better in simulating extreme flow, whereas the white-box (SWAT) model adequately simulated daily flows. Asian Australas. J. Biosci. Biotechnol. 2021, 6 (1), 26-39
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