基于偏移份额分析的江苏省就业结构变化分析

Yuanyuan Feng, Yingxia Pu
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摘要

本文运用传统的转移-份额模型、空间转移-份额模型、动态转移-份额模型和动态转移-份额空间扩展模型,对2000 - 2010年江苏省第一、二、三产业的就业状况进行了分析。研究结果表明,江苏省就业结构属于产业结构优势推动型,产业结构逐步优化,结构调整初见成效,但仍存在部分产业结构不合理、积极效应未充分发挥等问题。第一产业结构不合理较为突出,第二产业具有竞争力(发展势头好,结构合理),第三产业需要进一步进行产业结构调整,充分利用周边带来的积极影响,提升自身竞争力。
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Analysis about changes of employment structure in Jiangsu Province based on shift-share analysis
In this paper, according to the traditional shift - share model, spatial shift - share model, dynamic shift - share model, and the dynamic shift - share spatial expansion model, the employment situation in Jiangsu Province from 2000 to 2010 in the first, second, and third industries are analyzed. The results show that the employment structure of the Jiangsu Province belongs to those promoted by the advantage of industrial structure, the industrial structure is gradually optimized, structural adjustment of initial success, but there are still parts of irrational industrial structure, underutilized positive effects, and other issues. The irrationality of the first industrial structure is more prominent, the second industry is competitive (it has good momentum of development and reasonable structure), and the third industry needs further industrial restructuring, making full use of the positive impact brought by the surrounding to enhance their competitiveness.
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