Prognosis of manpower requirements to ensure specialist diabetological care in the Czech Republic.

The submitted prognosis of need of personnel to ensure specialist diabetological care in the Czech Republic is based on an analysis of the development of the number of diabetic patients and on analysis of activities which must be provided to diabetics in order to maintain the selected standard of health care. The estimate of the future number of diabetics is assessed by the method of demographic projection for one-year age groups, separately for men and women. The analysis of activities in diabetological care was elaborated from the results of an anonymous survey among diabetologists in the South Moravian region. Reflections on different variants of the standard of provided care respect also the analysis of the hitherto recorded trend in the number of health workers in diabetology and their available time. The estimate of needs is objective and can be applied in specialized diabetological services as well as in a different organization of care of diabetics, e.g. by the general practitioner. The contemporary organization of care of diabetics cannot ensure the required standard of care. The prognosis submits several possible ways how to achieve this standard. The prognosis deals in particular with the number of working hours of doctors but does not omit other categories of health workers.