什么会(或不会)影响印度的犯罪?

D. Hazra
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引用次数: 16

摘要

本文使用2010年至2016年32个邦和联邦属地的数据来调查印度犯罪的决定因素。结果表明,宏观经济、人口、社会经济和威慑因素对各类犯罪的重要性。设计/方法学/方法由于异方差和横截面相关性的证据,采用面板校正标准误差的线性回归。研究发现,在宏观经济因素中,只有人均国内生产总值与解释总犯罪率有关。然而,失业率和物价水平在解释某些类别的犯罪方面是至关重要的。人口因素,即人口密度,社会经济因素,即收入不平等,贫困率,识字率与印度的犯罪率表现出重要而显著的关系。此外,在四个威慑因素中,指控记录率,定罪率,警察案件的未决对于解释印度各类犯罪率很重要。原创性/价值虽然一些社会经济变量的含义与之前的研究结果一致,但识字率和威慑变量与犯罪呈正相关。特别是在印度这样的发展中国家,随着识字率的提高,白领犯罪往往会增加。这就要求实施为受过教育的群众提供更多就业机会的政策。本文还揭示了威慑因素与印度犯罪率之间的关系。法律和司法系统的缺陷不利于国家控制犯罪率的能力。
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What Does (and Does Not) Affect Crime in India?
PurposeThis paper uses data from 2010 to 2016 across 32 states and union territories to investigate the determinants of crime in India. Results indicate the significance of macroeconomic, demographic, socioeconomic and deterrence factors in accounting for various categories of crime.Design/methodology/approachDue to the evidence of heteroskedasticity and cross-sectional dependence, linear regression with panel-corrected standard errors is implemented.FindingsIt has been found that among the macroeconomic factors, only GSDP per capita was found relevant in explaining total crime rates. However, the unemployment rate and price level are crucial in explaining some categories of crime. The demographic factor, that is, population density, socioeconomic factors, that is, income inequality, poverty rate, literacy rate exhibit important and significant relationship with crime rates in India. Further, out of the four deterrence factors, charge-sheeting rate, conviction rate, pendency in police cases are important in explaining various categories of crime rates in India.Originality/valueWhile implications of some socioeconomic variables are consistent with those found in previous studies, literacy rates and deterrence variables were found to have a positive association with crime. In particular, in a developing country such as India, white-collar crimes tend to increase as literacy rates increase. This calls for implementing policies that lead to greater employment opportunities for the educated masses. This paper also sheds light on the relationship between deterrence factors and crime rates in India. Deficiencies in the legal and judicial system have been detrimental to the nation's ability to curb crime rates.
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What Does (and Does Not) Affect Crime in India?
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