{"title":"不确定条件下基于模型的长期发电系统规划","authors":"Ninghong Sun, I. Ellersdorfer, D. J. Swider","doi":"10.1109/DRPT.2008.4523607","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Within this paper a stochastic linear mixed-integer model for power plant investment planning under uncertainty is presented. Technical constraints relating to thermal power plants are implemented to better determine their operational flexibility. Modeled with a scenario recombining tree, uncertain wind power generation is explicitly considered in the unit commitment planning. In order to investigate the enhanced impact of heat supply on the electricity market due to increasing capacity of combined heat and power units, district heating systems are incorporated. Modeling results for the German electricity market are discussed regarding the significant influence of uncertainty on investment decisions.","PeriodicalId":240420,"journal":{"name":"2008 Third International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation and Restructuring and Power Technologies","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2008-04-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"26","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Model-based long-term electricity generation system planning under uncertainty\",\"authors\":\"Ninghong Sun, I. Ellersdorfer, D. J. Swider\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/DRPT.2008.4523607\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Within this paper a stochastic linear mixed-integer model for power plant investment planning under uncertainty is presented. Technical constraints relating to thermal power plants are implemented to better determine their operational flexibility. Modeled with a scenario recombining tree, uncertain wind power generation is explicitly considered in the unit commitment planning. In order to investigate the enhanced impact of heat supply on the electricity market due to increasing capacity of combined heat and power units, district heating systems are incorporated. Modeling results for the German electricity market are discussed regarding the significant influence of uncertainty on investment decisions.\",\"PeriodicalId\":240420,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2008 Third International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation and Restructuring and Power Technologies\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2008-04-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"26\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2008 Third International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation and Restructuring and Power Technologies\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/DRPT.2008.4523607\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2008 Third International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation and Restructuring and Power Technologies","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/DRPT.2008.4523607","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Model-based long-term electricity generation system planning under uncertainty
Within this paper a stochastic linear mixed-integer model for power plant investment planning under uncertainty is presented. Technical constraints relating to thermal power plants are implemented to better determine their operational flexibility. Modeled with a scenario recombining tree, uncertain wind power generation is explicitly considered in the unit commitment planning. In order to investigate the enhanced impact of heat supply on the electricity market due to increasing capacity of combined heat and power units, district heating systems are incorporated. Modeling results for the German electricity market are discussed regarding the significant influence of uncertainty on investment decisions.
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