用社会会计矩阵衡量欧洲和非洲国家的经济活动

S. Santos
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引用次数: 2

摘要

微观、中观和宏观经济模式的先决条件是存在一致的数据库,使企业、部门、区域、国家或大洲的活动能够量化。这些模型也可以在政策决策过程中起到重要的辅助作用,因为它们允许构建由于采取政策措施以及由此带来的变化而产生的情景。如果与联合国国民核算系统(SNA)相一致,社会核算矩阵可以包括在生产和机构两级的经济计量部分的所有名义流量,因此满足这些要求。因此,在其数值版本中,SAM构成了一个数据库,并提供了某一时刻测量现实的快照,而其可能的代数版本,即基于它的模型,允许构建上述场景。将审查和试验为非洲国家建造符合SNA的防空导弹系统的可能性和效用。将研究资产管理系统的基本结构和在整个系统内的一致性,以及任何可能的分解、扩展、总和、指标和可以计算的平衡。还将审查这一基本结构以外的其他方面,以表明资产管理机制能够在多大程度上涵盖国民核算体系未涵盖的经济部分。
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Measuring the Activity of European and African Countries Using Social Accounting Matrices
Economic models at the micro, meso and macro levels presuppose the existence of consistent databases that make it possible to quantify the activity of enterprises, sectors, regions, countries or continents. Such models can also be important aids in the policy decision process, since they permit the construction of scenarios resulting from the adoption of policy measures and the consequent changes that they introduce. When consistent with the United Nations System of National Accounts (SNA), the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) can include all the nominal flows of the measured part of the economy, at the level of both production and the institutions, and therefore satisfies these requirements. Thus, in its numerical version, a SAM constitutes a database and provides a snapshot of the measured reality at a certain moment, whereas its possible algebraic versions, i.e. models that are based upon it, permit the construction of the above-mentioned scenarios. The possibility and usefulness of constructing SAMs for African countries consistent with the SNA will be examined and experimented. The SAM’s basic structure and consistency within the whole system will be studied, as well as any possible disaggregations, extensions, aggregates, indicators and balances that can be calculated. Other aspects beyond that basic structure will also be examined in order to show to what extent the SAM is capable of covering parts of the economy that are not covered by the SNA.
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