认识论的起源

Adam Brandenburger
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引用次数: 4

摘要

1935年,奥斯卡·摩根斯坦写道:“这里展示了一个无穷无尽的相互推测的反应和反反应链。”补救办法是在物流中类似地运用所谓的罗素类型理论。这将意味着,在假定经济主体对第一类理论原则的认识的基础上,可以制定出该理论的更高命题;因此,至少是II型。根据第二类原则的信息,至少可以建立第三类命题,等等。从这个充满希望的开端,我们将试图追溯认知博弈论发展道路上的前进和后退的步骤。这将带我们通过冯·诺伊曼、摩根斯坦、纳什和哈萨尼,了解20世纪80年代中期一个新兴的认识论领域。我们将继续对当今使用的各种认知框架进行一些评论。
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Origins of epistemics
In 1935, Oskar Morgenstern wrote: [T]here is exhibited an endless chain of reciprocally conjectural reactions and counter-reactions. The remedy would lie in analogous employment of the so-called Russell theory of types in logistics. This would mean that on the basis of the assumed knowledge by the economic subjects of theoretical tenets of Type I, there can be formulated higher propositions of the theory; thus, at least, of Type II. On the basis of information about tenets of Type II, propositions of Type III, at least, may be set up, etc. We will attempt to trace, from this promising start, the steps forward and backward on the path to the development of epistemic game theory. This will take us through von Neumann and Morgenstern, Nash, and Harsanyi, to an emerging field of epistemics as of the mid-1980s. We will continue with some comments on the variety of epistemic frameworks in use today.
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