基于地理空间技术和层次分析法的滑坡易感性区划——以蒙莱镇及其邻近地区为例

Liem D. Nguyen, Luc Manh Nguyen, Thanh Van Duong, A. Tran, Anh-Tuyet Thi Phung
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摘要

本研究运用遥感、地理资讯系统(GIS)与层次分析法(AHP)相结合的方法,为越南中部北部及山区的蒙莱镇及其邻近地区建立滑坡易感性地图。在GIS环境下,利用地面或遥感数据创建了9个与滑坡相关的因子,包括岩石组成、活动断层密度、坡度、排水密度、单位面积高度差、土地覆盖、土壤质地、最大日降雨量和地震密度。通过文献综述,根据各因素在研究区滑坡发生中的相对重要性,采用层次分析法确定各因素的权重。在GIS中采用加权线性组合方法生成滑坡易感性图,并采用分位数分类法将其分为极低、低、中、高、极高5个易感性等级。结果表明,极低易感区覆盖率为29%,低易感区覆盖率为24%,中等易感区覆盖率为21%,高易感区覆盖率为15%,极高易感区覆盖率为11%。通过计算受者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)来验证这些结果的有效性,得到满意的结果为63.3%。有记录的滑坡事件大多发生在高易感性和极高易感性地区。这些发现可能对规划人员和决策者在土地利用规划和边坡管理方面有用,以防止或减少未来的山体滑坡。
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Landslide susceptibility zonation using geospatial techniques and Analytical Hierarchy Process: A case study in Muong Lay town and its vicinity
This study demonstrates an integrated approach of remote sensing, geographic information system (GIS), and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) method to create a landslide susceptibility map for Muong Lay town and its vicinity in Northern midland and mountainous of Vietnam. Nine landslide-related factors, including petrological composition, active fault density, slope, drainage density, the difference in height per unit area, land cover, soil texture, maximum daily rainfall, and earthquake density were created using ground or remotely sensed data in a GIS environment. Weight for each factor was assigned using AHP depending on its relative importance in landslide occurrence in the study area through literature review. The landslide susceptibility map was generated using a weighted linear combination method in GIS and categorized into five susceptible classes namely, very low, low, moderate, high, and very high using quantile classification. The results revealed that 29% of the study area is at very low susceptibility, 24% at low susceptibility, 21% of moderate susceptibility, 15% of high susceptibility, and 11% of very high susceptibility area coverage. The effectiveness of these results was checked by computing the area under Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC) which showed a satisfactory result of 63.3%. Most of the recorded landslide events were located in high and very high susceptibility areas. These findings could be useful to planners and decision-makers in land use planning and slope management to prevent or reduce future landslides.
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