等级不足?单赢家排序选择投票的成本和收益分析

J. Clark
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引用次数: 5

摘要

在过去的十年里,围绕即时决选(IRV)的影响的辩论愈演愈烈,因为支持者寻求在缅因州取得胜利的基础上,将其推广到更多的州。然而,双方的说法都是未经证实的,因为它只在一次全州选举中使用过。由于大多数选举都发生在强烈倾向民主党的城市,围绕IRV在多党环境下的行为影响所做的研究相对较少,这加剧了对IRV信息的缺乏。本研究首次从微观层面和宏观层面对IRV的影响进行了整体分析,旨在更好地理解这一改革。在这样做的过程中,我发现了强有力的实验和观察证据,表明IRV的负面影响超过了任何积极影响,精英主导的意见可能是一个缓解因素。
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Rank Deficiency? Analyzing the Costs and Benefits of Single-Winner Ranked-Choice Voting
In the past decade, debate around the effects of the instant runoff voting (IRV) has intensified, as proponents seek to build upon a victory in Maine to expand its use to more states. However, there has relied on unsubstantiated claims from both sides, as it has only been used in a single statewide election. This lack of information around IRV is compounded by the fact that relatively little work has been done around the behavioral impacts of IRV in a multi- party setting, with most of the elections happening in cities that lean strongly Democrat. This study seeks to better understand this reform by being the first to holistically analyze both the micro-level and macro-level impacts of IRV. In doing so, I find strong experimental and observational evidence to suggest that the negative impacts of IRV outweigh any positive effects, and that elite-led opinion may serve as a mitigating factor.
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