古巴:过去能持续下去吗?

D. Dieterle, Jamie Wagner
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摘要

2018年6月,我们是21名教育工作者中的两名,他们花了四天时间访问古巴。在访问期间,我们参观了工厂、农场、餐馆和私营企业。我们会见了一位在古巴生活和工作的美国记者、一位律师、一位烟农、一位城市规划师/建筑师/教授、一位律师出身的派对策划人、几位企业主和哈瓦那大学的经济学家。在接下来的五到十年里,1959年革命的古巴领导人将会死亡或下台。到那时,古巴将面临身份危机。年轻一代对新领导层的反应将决定古巴的未来。与此同时,美国1962年对古巴实施的禁运现在已经超过50年了。古巴人认为禁运是他们斗争的原因。从许多古巴人的角度来看,禁运是阻碍他们的主要问题。这不是唯一的问题,但我们同意。在古巴新领导层上台的十年里,禁运已经无关紧要了。我们与其他类似的国家进行贸易并建立关系。当前美国与中国和俄罗斯的关系使得支持禁运的旧论点在当今不断增长的全球经济中变得毫无意义。
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Cuba: Can the Past Last?
In June 2018 we were two of twenty-one educators who spent four days visiting Cuba. During our visit we visited factories, farms, restaurants, and private businesses. We met with an American journalist who lives and works in Cuba, a lawyer, tobacco farmer, urban planner/architect/professor, attorney turned party planner, several business owners, and University of Havana economist.

In the next five to ten years the Cuban leadership of the 1959 Revolution will be dead or out of office. At that time Cuba will face an identity crisis. How the younger generations respond to new leadership will determine Cuba’s future.

Simultaneously, the U.S. embargo placed on Cuba in 1962 is now over fifty years old. Cubans believe the embargo is the reason for their struggles. From many Cubans’ perspective the embargo is the main issue holding them back. It is not the only issue but we agree. The embargo is not relevant in a decade of new Cuban leadership. We trade and have relations with other similar nations. Current U.S. relations with China and Russia make the old arguments in favor of the embargo moot in today’s growing global economy.
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