Is比特币是真正的货币吗?经济评估

D. Yermack
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引用次数: 860

摘要

一种真正的货币具有交换媒介、价值储存和记账单位的功能,但比特币在很大程度上无法满足这些标准。比特币仅实现了很少的消费者交易量,对于少数接受比特币的商家来说,平均每天的交易量远低于一笔。其波动性大大高于广泛使用货币的波动性,给用户带来了较大的短期风险。比特币的每日汇率与广泛使用的货币和黄金几乎没有相关性,这使得比特币对风险管理毫无用处,其所有者也极难对冲。消费品的比特币价格需要许多带前导零的小数点后十位,这让零售市场参与者感到不安。比特币每天都面临黑客攻击和盗窃的风险,无法进入有存款保险的银行系统,也不能用于消费信贷或贷款合同的计价。比特币似乎更像是一种投机性投资,而不是一种货币。
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Is Bitcoin a Real Currency? An Economic Appraisal
A bona fide currency functions as a medium of exchange, a store of value, and a unit of account, but bitcoin largely fails to satisfy these criteria. Bitcoin has achieved only scant consumer transaction volume, with an average well below one daily transaction for the few merchants who accept it. Its volatility is greatly higher than the volatilities of widely used currencies, imposing large short-term risk upon users. Bitcoin's daily exchange rates exhibit virtually zero correlation with widely used currencies and with gold, making bitcoin useless for risk management and exceedingly difficult for its owners to hedge. Bitcoin prices of consumer goods require many decimal places with leading zeros, which is disconcerting to retail market participants. Bitcoin faces daily hacking and theft risks, lacks access to a banking system with deposit insurance, and it is not used to denominate consumer credit or loan contracts. Bitcoin appears to behave more like a speculative investment than a currency.
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