基于支持向量机的架空线路结冰负荷预测

Qi-mao Li, Peng Li, Qing Zhang, Wenping Ren, M. Cao, Shangfei Gao
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引用次数: 12

摘要

架空输电线路结冰是影响电网安全运行的主要问题,有必要建立架空输电线路结冰负荷预测模型。该预测模型以环境温度、湿度、风速、风向、日照和气压作为训练数据的输入,结冰负荷为基于支持向量机(SVM)的预测模型的输出。仿真结果表明,该模型适用于同一输电线路在短时间内不同结冰过程中结冰负荷的预测。这对预防电网灾害和减少经济损失是有帮助的。
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Icing load prediction for overhead power lines based on SVM
The icing of overhead transmission lines is the main problem for the safety of power grid, It is necessary to establish the model of icing load prediction on overhead transmission lines. The prediction model utilizes the ambient temperature, humidity, wind speed, wind direction, sunlight and air pressure as training data of input, the icing load is the output of prediction model based on Support Vector Machine (SVM). According to the results of simulation, this model is available to the prediction of icing load, even in different process of icing in the same transmission line during a short time. So it is helpful for preventing the disaster of power grid and reducing of economic losses.
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