DP移动式海上钻井装置紧急断开屏障分析

Haibo Chen, Tommy Bauge, L. Reinås, Paul Landeråen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

确定了与挪威大陆架动态定位移动式海上钻井装置紧急断开相关的技术、操作和组织障碍因素。根据国际海事承包商协会(IMCA)公布的站位保持事件,分析了位置损失情景。在事件树模型中定性和定量地解决了这些障碍元素在不同类型的头寸损失情景中如何失效。文中给出了一个算例,并计算了在给定位置损失的情况下断开连接的符号概率。通过敏感性研究考察了不同屏障元素的风险降低效果。本文对DP modu的位置丢失和紧急断开故障的风险进行了分析。为浅水恶劣环境下DP钻井及钻井作业的风险管理提供决策支持。
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Barrier Analysis of Emergency Disconnect on DP Mobile Offshore Drilling Units
Technical, operational and organization barrier elements related to the emergency disconnect on dynamically positioned mobile offshore drilling units on the Norwegian Continental Shelf are identified. Position loss scenarios are analyzed based on the published station-keeping incidents by IMCA (International Marine Contractors Association). How these barrier elements may fail in different types of position loss scenarios are addressed qualitatively and quantitatively in an event tree model. A case study is provided in the paper and notational probability of failure to disconnect given position loss is calculated. Risk reduction effect of various barrier elements are investigated by sensitivity studies. The paper provides insights into risk given position loss and failure of emergency disconnect on DP MODUs. It offers decision support for risk management of DP drilling and well operations in shallow water and harsh environment.
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