印度加工蔬菜出口业绩的经济分析

B. A., N. P.
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引用次数: 0

摘要

印度加工蔬菜在国际市场上加速了印度经济的增长。研究不同国家加工蔬菜份额的变化,提高农民、加工商和出口商的福利。在这方面,曾试图量化印度加工蔬菜出口结构的变化。本研究的主要目的是分析加工蔬菜出口的增长和贸易方向。在这方面,从APEDA收集了1995-96年至2017-18年期间印度加工蔬菜出口的次要数据,主要是加工蔬菜出口量。采用指数增长模型估算增长率,采用线性规划方法计算马尔可夫链分析模型,利用Lingo programming计算机软件包评估印度主要加工蔬菜出口市场的转移概率。因此,加工蔬菜出口市场有两位数的正增长率,英国保留了22.5%,其他类别的国家保留了32.4%的印度加工蔬菜出口份额。在“其他类别”下的国家和英国将是未来从印度进口加工蔬菜的更稳定的进口国,而德国和荷兰等国家则不是稳定的进口国。
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An economic analysis of export performance of processed vegetables in India
Indian processed vegetables in International markets accelerate the growth of Indian economy. Studying the changes in share of processed vegetables to different countries, improve the welfare of farmers, processers and exporters. In this regard, an attempt was made to quantify the changing structure of Indian processed vegetables exports. The main objective of the present study was to analysis the growth and the direction of trade in processed vegetables export. In this regard, secondary data, mainly quantity of processed vegetables exports from India was collected from APEDA, for a period of 1995-96 to 2017-18. Growth rates was estimated by using the exponential growth model and the Markov chain analysis model was computed through linear programming method to assess the transition probabilities for the major Indian processed vegetables export markets using Lingo Programming computer package. Accordingly, processed vegetables export market have positive double digit growth rate, UK retained 22.5 per cent, countries pooled under ‘others category’ retained 32.4 percent of share of Indian processed vegetables export. That the countries pooled under ‘others category’ and UK would be the more stable importers of the processed vegetables from India in future and country like Germany and Netherland was not found as the stable importer.
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