在唐纳德·特朗普总统任期内,成员国对北约阿富汗政策的贡献

Yulia K. Boguslavskaya
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引用次数: 2

摘要

在当前高度竞争的国际环境中,美国的目标是巩固和加强北约,并使其目前在阿富汗的任务圆满结束。这些进程的成功提高了美国作为一个强大的国际行动者的声誉。我检查了这样一个假设,即面对美国总统对北约搭便车的尖锐批评,那些未能达到其国防开支占国内生产总值2%目标的成员国将选择大幅增加其对北约在阿富汗努力的贡献。我没有找到足够令人信服的经验数据来证明这一点。相反,盟国的贡献反映了他们在北约框架内合作所追求的力量潜力和野心。尽管受到美国的压力,美国的盟友仍然能够确定他们对北约框架内集体努力的贡献规模。冷战结束后,北约职权范围的扩大为成员国选择参与方式提供了更多选择。我的研究结果总体上支持了学术文献中关于联盟内部议价过程的既定观点。北约框架内外的广泛任务促进了美国与其众多盟友和伙伴组成联盟。与此同时,如果更多的主要盟国进一步选择在北约之外与华盛顿合作,这将削弱北约的有效性和全球作用。
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The member states’ contributions to NATO’s policy in Afghanistan during Donald Trump presidency
In a currently highly competitive international environment, US goals of consolidating and strengthening NATO as well as bringing its present mission in Afghanistan to successful termination gain in significance. The success of these processes enhances the reputation of the United States as a powerful international actor. I checked the hypothesis that facing sharp critique from the United States president for free riding in NATO, those members who fail to meet the target of 2 per cent of GDP in their defense expenditure would choose to increase significantly their contributions to the Alliance’s efforts in Afghanistan. I did not find enough convincing empirical data to prove it. The contributions of allies rather reflect their power potentials and ambitions they pursue by cooperating in NATO framework. US allies remain able to define the scale of their contribution to collective efforts in NATO framework despite the US pressure. Broadening of the Alliance’s purview after the end of the Cold war provided member states with additional alternatives for choosing types of their involvement. My findings generally support the established view on intra-alliance bargaining process in scholarly literature. A wide range of missions in NATO framework and beyond it facilitates coalition formation for the United States with their numerous allies and partners. At the same time, if more major allies further choose to cooperate with Washington outside NATO, it will undermine its effectiveness and global role.
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